Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (30.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +39 (92-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.D. Vassallo | 28 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -3 | - |
| J. Allen | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | - |
| H. Thorns | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Washington | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Thompson | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Delaney | 22 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| D. Hudson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Diakite | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Bell | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Witcher | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Vinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Travis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 29 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Ellington | 22 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Copeland | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| W. Graves | 10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Thompson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Campbell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wooten | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Wood | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Little | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter