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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Larson 27 3-4 1-2 1-1 5 1 0 0 2 8 8 -
J. Wilson 27 2-5 1-2 3-4 2 2 1 0 4 8 4 -
Z. Filzen 25 5-7 2-4 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 15 8 -
J. Bishop 20 0-0 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 1 1 3 12 -
K. Landry 19 6-6 0-0 6-11 9 0 0 0 2 18 19 -
M. Johnson 19 1-5 1-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 3 8 -
N. Geiser 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Z. Comagic 13 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
C. Jones 13 2-2 0-0 5-5 0 4 0 0 1 9 10 -
R. McCurdy 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 6 1 -
S. Johannsen 9 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Sharp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Staudacher 36 2-7 2-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 0 -
J. Hasquet 36 3-8 3-7 3-5 6 1 0 0 0 12 11 -
A. Strait 32 7-10 0-0 9-14 6 1 4 0 2 23 22 -
K. Sharp 25 4-8 0-1 5-5 6 1 1 1 0 13 14 -
M. Martin 25 4-10 1-5 1-2 2 5 0 0 3 10 4 -
C. Elgin-Taylor 23 3-5 0-1 1-4 0 5 0 0 1 7 6 -
C. Rundles 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 5 3 -
D. Vanderjagt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter