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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% - โœ“
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 โœ— (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—

Actual: Harvard Crimson -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 30 8-17 1-5 3-3 12 1 3 0 0 20 19 -
B. Loscalzo 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
K. Bulger 24 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
M. Montgomery 23 4-4 2-2 3-4 4 3 1 0 3 13 14 -
B. Nwachukwu 23 5-8 0-0 6-8 3 0 0 3 1 16 13 -
N. Scott 20 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -4 -
K.J. Matsui 19 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
K. Sweet 11 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 3 2 0 0 2 7 -
A. Ampim 11 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
J. Bova 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Miller 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 36 8-15 2-6 7-7 7 1 3 0 0 25 21 -
J. Lin 33 2-7 0-4 2-3 0 5 2 1 4 6 3 -
B. Unger 28 2-11 2-7 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
E. Harris 25 4-8 0-0 6-7 8 0 0 2 1 14 15 -
A. Pusar 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
D. McGeary 23 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
K. Fitzgerald 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Miller 9 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
C. Dinc 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T.J. Carey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter