Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 36 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| R. Morgan | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucas | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Naymick | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Allen | 23 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Walton | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Suton | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Gray | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Summers | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ellis | 37 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Gordon | 31 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| A. Bassett | 30 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Taber | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Thomas | 16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D.J. White | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. White | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Stemler | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Finkelmeier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ahlfeld | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter