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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 55.8% 44.2% -
Bradley-Terry 77.3% 22.7% -
Margin 81.6% 18.4% -8.2 (36.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.5% 60.5% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +28 (87-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 29 4-12 1-4 9-10 4 2 0 1 3 18 10 -
D. Watts 26 5-12 1-3 2-3 11 0 1 2 1 13 14 -
J. Dotzler 24 2-8 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 2 4 4 -
B. Woodfox 24 7-14 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 16 4 -
N. Bahe 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
K. Lawson Jr. 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Witter 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -
C. Harriman 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
P. Hibma 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
K. Walker II 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Korver 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Millard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin 33 5-10 3-6 3-4 4 9 2 1 2 16 20 -
J. Crouch 30 7-15 3-10 3-4 7 3 0 0 2 20 13 -
T. Wilson 30 2-7 0-0 6-6 8 2 3 0 1 10 15 -
S. Maniscalco 28 4-8 4-7 3-4 2 3 2 0 2 15 12 -
M. Salley 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 2 9 -
A. Warren 17 3-5 2-3 5-5 7 1 0 0 0 13 16 -
R. Austin 13 1-2 0-0 0-3 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Singh 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
T. Cole-Scott 8 2-3 1-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Collins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter