Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| H. Claytor | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Mccants | 0 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| L. Sanders | 0 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Littles | 0 | 8-19 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| P. Kellum | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 5-19 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | - |
| S. Zoll | 0 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
* = starter