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2008-02-15

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
ELO 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% -
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
C. DeGraffenreid 0 3-8 -2 5-7 4 3 11 10
H. Claytor 0 -4 -3 - 3 1 0
R. Mccants 0 6-13 -3 3-3 3 3 15 8
L. Sanders 0 9-14 - 10-12 10 28 24
E. Larkins 0 9-16 - 3-5 18 3 21 26

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Littles 0 8-19 2-3 4-5 7 22 10
A. Mohammed 0 8-13 - - 9 16 12
P. Kellum 0 2-9 -1 5-5 4 4 9 8
M. Wright 0 5-19 1-5 4-5 3 3 15 2
S. Zoll 0 5-10 1-2 7-9 5 6 18 19

* = starter