Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +2 (59-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.