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2008-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 (0.5 off)
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% -

Actual: Samford Bulldogs +2 (59-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Stojakovic 38 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 0 2 6 11 -
M. Stallworth 36 5-11 5-9 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 15 6 -
L. Buchanan 35 2-3 0-0 7-8 10 2 1 0 2 11 19 -
J. Steward 35 5-10 1-4 4-4 2 3 1 0 2 15 9 -
D. Harper 23 3-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 8 5 -
K. Faried 17 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 1 0 6 9 -
J. Lamb 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
A. Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Merritt 40 4-11 3-8 1-2 8 1 2 0 1 12 11 -
B. Friday 34 3-6 0-1 6-8 3 3 2 0 0 12 14 -
T. Montgomery 31 3-7 1-3 0-1 0 3 0 0 3 7 0 -
T. Peterson 28 6-11 4-7 0-0 4 2 1 3 4 16 11 -
J. Griffin 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Bedwell 15 1-1 1-1 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Davis 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 0 3 -
A. King 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 7 -

* = starter