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2008-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Appleby 32 3-10 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 -3 -
J. Brockman 28 6-12 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 2 13 11 -
T. Morris 26 1-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 2 0 -
J. Dentmon 24 6-11 1-3 3-3 4 0 1 0 4 16 6 -
Q. Pondexter 23 1-7 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Wallace 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
V. Overton 18 2-3 0-1 0-2 0 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Smith 11 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 3 0 0 5 4 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Wolfinger 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor 31 4-9 3-5 4-4 4 0 3 0 2 15 11 -
M. Leunen 30 4-7 2-2 0-0 10 3 2 2 0 10 20 -
J. Catron 29 2-6 1-1 5-9 5 4 0 0 2 10 11 -
T. Porter 29 2-7 2-5 2-3 2 1 0 0 3 8 1 -
M. Hairston 26 4-10 2-6 3-4 4 4 1 1 1 13 12 -
C. Odia 19 4-5 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 12 10 -
K. Brown 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Platt 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 3 -
L. Longmire 8 1-3 0-0 0-4 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Viney 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Schafer 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter