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2008-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -8 (52-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Grady 35 2-4 1-3 2-2 4 9 1 0 0 7 17 -
D. Sims 33 4-12 2-5 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 10 1 -
M. Harris 29 3-9 1-2 8-8 3 3 3 0 3 15 12 -
R. Coleman 26 2-3 1-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
E. Udoh 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
Z. Gibson 17 1-3 0-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
A. Wright 16 3-6 2-5 0-2 4 0 0 0 3 8 3 -
D. Merritt 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
C.J. Lee 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Shepherd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gorney 35 4-10 0-2 1-2 8 1 3 0 1 9 10 -
J. Johnson 33 3-13 3-13 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 9 0 -
J. Kelly 32 5-10 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 2 3 12 9 -
C. Tate 31 2-2 0-0 6-7 6 0 0 0 2 10 12 -
T. Freeman 30 3-10 2-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 8 1 -
J. Peterson 27 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 2 0 -
K. Looby 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 -

* = starter