Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 32 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Geiser | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Landry | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 17 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| N. Larson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Bishop | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Jones | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 35 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 21 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| C. Durham | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Friesen | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Zamora | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Davis | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Howard | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter