Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kemp | 33 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| A. Johnson | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Ellis | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Fields | 23 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| L. Burleson | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. McGee | 17 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Cooke | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Johnson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Tiedeman | 36 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 35 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| R. Larry | 35 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Nelson | 20 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Noonan | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Greene | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter