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2008-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% - โœ—
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 โœ— (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 21.5% 78.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - โœ—

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hancock 29 3-6 1-2 1-3 3 5 0 0 0 8 10 -
T. Gilder 27 3-11 0-2 4-5 9 3 0 0 5 10 6 -
C. Bargeman 25 10-14 3-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 23 13 -
C.J. Clark 18 5-7 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 0 2 12 7 -
M. McConathy 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 6 1 0 4 3 5 -
D. Knight 16 4-5 1-1 0-1 3 4 0 0 0 9 11 -
D. White 14 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 6 1 -
J. Moody 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Jones 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
D. Petravicius 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. McConathy 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
K. Porterie 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Thomas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McDaniel 37 4-13 4-10 2-2 6 4 2 0 3 14 10 -
R. Bright 33 4-9 0-1 3-4 6 4 1 0 4 11 9 -
R. Rawlins 25 4-7 0-1 6-8 6 1 0 0 0 14 14 -
J. Thomas 24 2-7 1-6 3-3 2 2 1 0 3 8 3 -
J. Gardiner 24 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 1 9 6 -
D. Ramirez 23 1-6 0-1 4-8 2 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
A. Mitchell 17 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 3 2 -
J. Crow 12 0-1 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
B. Falkner 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter