Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 34 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 33 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 30 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| S. Laurie | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Laurie | 23 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Manswell | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Richards | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Cooks | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Knapp | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Brock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Richardson | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Slack | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 30 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| L. Dyer | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Sampay | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| S. Odzic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Holloway | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter