Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McKiver | 40 | 8-27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams | 38 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Toney | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Cousin | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Dowell | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Lewis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Pane | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Malone | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. McGloster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Douglas-Roberts | 37 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| A. Anderson | 34 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Rose | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Dozier | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| S. Taggart | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Dorsey | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. Allen | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mack | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| W. Kemp | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter