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2008-02-13

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Log Adjusted 20.8% 79.2% -

Actual: Florida Gators -12 (73-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Randolph 38 10-16 0-0 2-6 5 1 1 2 4 22 11 -
M. Thornton 35 8-11 4-7 0-0 3 1 4 0 1 20 16 -
G. Temple 34 3-6 1-3 3-4 2 5 2 0 2 10 11 -
C. Johnson 34 8-11 2-5 1-1 6 3 1 4 2 19 20 -
A. Farrer 30 0-2 0-1 4-4 2 6 1 0 0 4 11 -
T. Martin 15 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 10 0 -
Q. Thornton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Spencer 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas 32 2-6 0-4 0-0 0 5 0 0 4 4 -1 -
N. Calathes 32 6-9 3-6 1-1 7 5 1 0 5 16 15 -
D. Werner 31 6-16 1-7 0-0 9 4 0 0 3 13 7 -
W. Hodge 29 4-8 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 10 5 -
C. Parsons 24 2-9 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -4 -
M. Speights 22 4-9 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 0 3 11 8 -
A. Tyus 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
J. Mitchell 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
A. Allen 6 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter