Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Giddens | 35 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 5-8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 31 | - |
| D. Faris | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Gary | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Toppert | 25 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Wills | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Martinez | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Pegues | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Prentice | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 37 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 12 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 37 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| R. Williams | 33 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -2 | - |
| B. White | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Davis | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Lamb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter