Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +2.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 35 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| G. Suton | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucas | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| D. Naymick | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Gray | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Allen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Summers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel | 37 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| C. Kramer | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| E. Moore | 32 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| K. Grant | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Calasan | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Green | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Crump | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter