Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +7 (58-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Anderson | 37 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Washington | 36 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Henke | 35 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Maren | 35 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Johnson | 30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| D. Brooks | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Hood | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Holland | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rougeau | 39 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| W. Adams | 37 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Terry | 35 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Bailey | 28 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Shaw | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Darger | 19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Wallace | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter