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2008-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 79.8% 20.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.0% 31.0% - โœ“
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.4% 39.6% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames -9 (50-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jenkins 38 4-11 1-4 1-3 4 4 2 0 2 10 7 -
C. Gaynor 36 3-5 2-3 0-1 4 4 4 1 1 8 15 -
T. McCullough 34 6-9 0-2 2-3 4 1 2 1 2 14 11 -
M. Robinson 28 3-6 0-2 3-4 7 0 1 2 1 9 12 -
C. Corbin 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 10 5 -
G. Valentine 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Avery Harris 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
B. Faison 7 1-3 0-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
A. Buechert 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Burton 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McLean 36 6-10 0-0 4-5 11 1 1 0 0 16 19 -
A. Smith 32 3-10 1-6 2-2 2 1 3 0 4 9 1 -
K. Ohman 28 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 8 6 -
B.J. Jenkins 28 3-9 0-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 6 -1 -
T. Bannister 27 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 7 2 0 7 5 4 -
J. Anderson 25 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
R. Porter 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Holland 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Spencer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter