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2008-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% -
Bradley-Terry 73.2% 26.8% -
Margin 73.7% 26.3% -5.7 (46.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% -
Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +41 (93-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley 40 8-19 1-5 4-4 4 2 2 0 5 21 5 -
J. Crawford 38 3-11 0-2 5-7 3 0 1 0 1 11 3 -
D. Jasper 29 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 2 4 -
P. Patterson 28 3-9 0-0 4-8 5 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
A.J. Stewart 21 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 2 3 3 6 -
R. Harris 12 0-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -3 -
P. Stevenson 12 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 5 6 -
M. Coury 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Meeks 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Carter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 27 2-7 2-5 4-6 1 5 0 0 0 10 9 -
R. Neltner 26 6-10 1-2 2-2 8 2 2 1 0 15 18 -
S. Foster 26 8-10 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 20 14 -
A.J. Ogilvy 24 5-10 0-0 9-11 12 1 0 0 1 19 21 -
A. Walker 18 1-2 0-1 3-8 3 2 0 1 1 5 8 -
A. Gordon 17 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
K. Bell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 1 -
D. McClellan 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Drake 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 2 0 1 5 6 -
A. Metcalfe 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Graham 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
J. Duffy 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Cole 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter