Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| R. Holmes | 32 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Thompson | 31 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 30 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Tucker | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Reed | 23 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelley | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Carr | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Tucker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smeulders | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| N. Raivio | 29 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| J. Stohl | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Watson | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Ito | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Sikma | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Knutson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| W. Thompson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter