Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.