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2008-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +19 (72-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 36 3-7 2-2 3-4 5 3 0 0 7 11 5 -
M. Shaw 33 3-10 0-3 2-2 10 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
R. Falker 30 3-4 0-0 1-3 1 0 3 2 3 7 6 -
T. Green 29 3-5 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 0 7 9 2 -
T. Boyle 23 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
W. Clemmons 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 3 6 -
J. Bone 18 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
C. Fay 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Coopwood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Bahe 28 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 0 0 2 5 -
K. Lawson Jr. 28 4-5 0-0 1-3 11 0 0 0 2 9 13 -
P. Stinnett 23 5-9 1-3 3-4 0 1 3 1 1 14 9 -
C. Millard 21 0-4 0-1 0-2 1 1 1 1 1 0 -1 -
C. Witter 20 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 8 5 -
B. Woodfox 19 7-10 2-3 4-5 1 1 1 0 0 20 13 -
J. Dotzler 19 1-4 0-0 3-4 1 4 3 0 2 5 7 -
D. Watts 18 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
C. Harriman 12 1-2 1-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
P. Hibma 6 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
K. Korver 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Walker II 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter