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2008-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.3% 76.7% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (103-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hammonds 46 13-23 5-8 0-1 7 3 1 1 6 31 14 -
J. Mays 41 4-8 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 2 4 9 8 -
K.C. Rivers 39 5-14 4-8 0-2 6 6 5 2 1 14 18 -
T. Booker 27 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 1 10 14 -
D. Stitt 21 6-10 1-2 0-1 2 5 1 0 6 13 5 -
D. Potter 21 5-11 0-4 0-1 4 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
R. Sykes 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
T. Oglesby 16 2-11 2-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 -5 -
S. Perry 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 0 6 -
J. Grant 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
K. Petrukonis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Morris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Ellington 47 9-22 5-9 5-5 3 3 0 0 5 28 7 -
T. Hansbrough 47 11-16 0-0 17-19 13 1 3 1 2 39 39 -
Q. Thomas 46 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 9 1 1 5 6 9 -
D. Thompson 34 3-10 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 2 8 7 -
D. Green 31 5-12 2-5 2-2 6 2 3 2 3 14 12 -
M. Ginyard 24 1-1 1-1 3-6 1 0 1 0 3 6 4 -
A. Stepheson 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
W. Graves 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter