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2008-02-09

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 68.5% 31.5% -
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.7% 17.3% -
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade 37 2-13 0-3 4-6 3 3 1 1 6 8 -3 -
R. Amoroso 37 7-8 0-1 6-8 6 2 2 0 2 20 20 -
R. Williams 30 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 5 3 0 3 6 8 -
B. White 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Thomas 18 1-4 0-1 2-4 1 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
K. Davis 18 5-12 3-7 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 15 5 -
D.J. Gay 17 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Pastorek 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
J. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Salter 31 6-13 2-5 4-4 7 0 1 0 1 18 12 -
B. Hackett 26 1-6 0-1 1-3 2 3 1 0 1 3 2 -
J. Ortiz 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 2 7 -
K. Langford 23 6-13 0-1 3-5 5 0 1 1 5 15 4 -
A. Parker 22 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 10 14 -
J. Ebie 21 0-1 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 5 4 2 -
M. Morones 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 3 2 -
N. Owens 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
R. Wall 11 3-4 1-2 4-4 1 2 1 0 0 11 11 -
K. Mitchem 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Scott 3 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter