Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 37 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -3 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 37 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| R. Williams | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. White | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 18 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Salter | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. Hackett | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Ortiz | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Langford | 23 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| A. Parker | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Ebie | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Morones | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Owens | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Wall | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Mitchem | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Scott | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter