Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 36 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| A. McFarland | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Woodard | 24 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Simmons | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Clayman | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Nigon | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Creason | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| W. Gardner | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Cohen | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. McGinley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 32 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| J. Darger | 29 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 26 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| C. Bailey | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Terry | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| M. Shaw | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Wallace | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Cage | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter