Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -4 (52-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.