Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Wilson | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 36 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Crouch | 34 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| A. Warren | 32 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Salley | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Austin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Singh | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Slack | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 32 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | - |
| D. Johnson | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| E. Holloway | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Sampay | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Odzic | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Dyer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter