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2008-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 0.9% 99.1% -
Bradley-Terry 4.9% 95.1% -
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.6 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 15.2% 84.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +42 (101-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelley 36 4-19 1-6 4-6 6 1 2 0 2 13 1 -
M. Hornbuckle 29 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 7 3 -
M. Thompson 27 2-8 2-4 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
M. Thomas 26 2-5 0-0 1-3 2 1 1 2 5 5 1 -
R. Tucker 26 2-6 1-2 6-8 1 5 2 0 6 11 7 -
J. Reed 25 5-10 4-9 0-2 3 1 2 0 1 14 9 -
R. Holmes 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
T. Tucker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
T. Carr 5 0-1 0-1 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 31 1-9 0-5 0-0 2 7 4 1 1 2 6 -
S. Gray 26 3-9 1-6 2-2 7 3 1 0 1 9 10 -
J. Pargo 26 6-8 1-1 0-0 1 12 3 0 3 13 18 -
A. Daye 18 7-13 2-3 1-1 9 1 0 2 4 17 12 -
D. Pendergraft 17 5-8 2-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 12 10 -
M. Downs 16 7-9 2-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 3 18 11 -
A. Kuso 14 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 3 0 0 7 14 -
R. Sacre 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 2 7 -
J. Heytvelt 12 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
L. Gurganious 11 3-3 0-0 2-5 5 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
I. Brown 7 1-4 0-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
W. Foster 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
A. Sorenson 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter