Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -15 (61-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.