Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✗ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -20 (57-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Townsend | 33 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 37 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Tresvant | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 24 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Heard | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Haynes | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Mels | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Miller | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. Colston | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Payne | 32 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Hanson | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Carter | 29 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| N. Clark | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Calegari | 21 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Portz | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Toth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter