Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +18 (99-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fullenwider | 26 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Bush | 25 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Thomas | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. White | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Gough | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Holder | 16 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Benson | 15 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 4-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Sloan | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Agwumaro | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Guignard | 36 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| R. Epps | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Griffin | 26 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 28 | - |
| L. Posey | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Hunter | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Vereen | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Moffitt | 18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Smith | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Parker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. DeWalt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter