Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +21 (85-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 36 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D. Noel | 35 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Taylor | 33 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | - |
| T. Davis | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Battle | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Yotio | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Thornton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Young | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Pope | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Speraw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rose | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Dorsey | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| A. Anderson | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Dozier | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Mack | 20 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| W. Kemp | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Allen | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Taggart | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Robinson | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter