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2008-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.2% 96.8% -
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% -
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 21.6% 78.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 40 10-16 2-5 6-10 1 7 2 0 3 28 19 -
J. Oates 34 3-5 3-5 0-0 7 0 0 4 2 9 13 -
B. Paris 33 4-6 2-2 1-1 0 4 0 0 6 11 3 -
R. Sanders 26 4-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 2 3 8 5 -
S. Spears 23 5-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 10 7 -
C. Raji 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
T. Blair 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 0 2 -
J. Southern 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
T. Roche 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 34 8-18 3-7 5-7 10 1 3 1 1 24 20 -
G. Paulus 31 3-10 2-7 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 8 3 -
D. Nelson 30 8-10 1-1 6-12 8 5 1 0 2 23 25 -
J. Scheyer 29 3-8 0-2 5-6 5 2 2 1 1 11 12 -
G. Henderson 24 3-8 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 9 5 -
L. Thomas 24 3-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 2 1 0 6 8 -
N. Smith 13 2-4 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
T. King 7 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
D. McClure 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Zoubek 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter