Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 33 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Davis | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| C. Taylor | 26 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Friesen | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Zamora | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| B. Howard | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Staudacher | 36 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Sharp | 34 | 7-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| A. Strait | 34 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| C. Elgin-Taylor | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 28 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Martin | 23 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Rundles | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Vanderjagt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter