Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 39 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| M. Thompson | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Ryan | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Coble | 32 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Nash | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| S. Williams | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Baran | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Capocci | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Melchior | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 34 | 8-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| R. Morgan | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Naymick | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| T. Walton | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Lucas | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| G. Suton | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Allen | 14 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Gray | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Summers | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter