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2008-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 64.3% 35.7% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Log Adjusted 91.2% 8.8% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -2 (45-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton 35 6-12 3-5 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 15 11 -
T. Smith 35 5-13 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 4 12 2 -
R. Smith 30 0-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 1 3 -
W. Chism 28 4-6 0-1 0-4 8 0 3 1 0 8 14 -
J.P. Prince 22 1-7 0-1 1-5 5 1 3 3 3 3 5 -
J. Smith 22 1-8 0-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Crews 13 2-6 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
J. Howell 10 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -7 -
B. Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Tabb 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Johnson 38 8-15 0-4 1-1 8 1 1 4 3 17 13 -
G. Temple 36 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
A. Randolph 30 3-8 0-1 0-1 8 1 0 1 3 6 5 -
M. Thornton 28 5-11 1-4 1-2 7 0 1 1 6 12 4 -
T. Martin 27 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 2 -4 -
A. Farrer 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 4 0 3 2 5 -
G. Green 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
B. Spencer 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Thornton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter