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2008-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Log Adjusted 37.7% 62.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +10 (62-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Riley 35 6-14 3-9 4-4 4 2 1 0 4 19 8 -
B. Hollinger 35 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 3 2 -
A. Gee 25 1-9 0-2 3-7 3 0 1 1 2 5 -1 -
Y. Coleman 23 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
D. Jemison 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
J. Knox 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
J. Tubbs 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Hillman 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Torrance 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
R. Pickett 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 39 5-11 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 1 3 12 8 -
J. Crawford 36 4-10 0-3 5-8 3 2 0 0 3 13 5 -
P. Stevenson 33 3-4 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 2 1 8 16 -
R. Bradley 29 4-8 3-6 8-10 2 1 3 0 4 19 13 -
R. Harris 24 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 5 2 0 2 4 13 -
D. Jasper 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 3 3 4 -
M. Coury 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 1 1 3 3 -
M. Porter 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
A.J. Stewart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter