Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -19 (64-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hansbrough | 38 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| J. Gordon | 37 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 11-12 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 26 | - |
| B. Stewart | 37 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Varnado | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| P. Turner | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| R. Johnson | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Bailey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Benock | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Begley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Tolbert | 39 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 37 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| R. Barrett | 32 | 7-22 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 29 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Q. Prowell | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| D. Reed | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Heramb | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter