Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -5 (61-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Allen | 40 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Han | 37 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 27 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| G. Nero | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Johnson | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Y. Hawkins | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. O'Sullivan | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Edney | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakhate | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Jordan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pearson | 33 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Ferguson | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Smith | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Crawford | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Green | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Austin | 17 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P. Bouli | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Jolicoeur | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Gabriel | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Adams | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| N. Walsh | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter