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2008-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 22.1% 77.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Log Adjusted 5.2% 94.8% -

Actual: Brown Bears +26 (77-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 33 5-16 0-2 0-0 5 3 2 1 1 10 4 -
M. Giovacchini 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
D. Mosley 24 4-9 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
J. Ball 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
K. Graeber 19 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 5 9 2 -
C. Weeden 19 0-0 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 1 1 1 9 -
M. Sanders 17 2-3 0-1 2-4 2 4 2 0 3 6 8 -
R. Dixon 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
B. Ware 9 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -4 -
R. Pride 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Marciano 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 -
B. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Chisick 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
E. Fitzgerald 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McAndrew 32 8-10 3-3 6-6 3 4 1 0 2 25 21 -
P. Sullivan 29 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 6 10 -
C. Skrelja 28 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 2 7 -
D. Huffman 27 3-8 1-1 0-1 3 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
M. Mullery 19 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 2 3 9 10 -
A. Williams 18 2-5 0-2 2-3 1 0 2 0 0 6 4 -
S. Friske 11 4-4 1-1 0-1 0 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
C. Taylor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
G. Leffelman 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 2 4 -
S. Gruber 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
C. Aldridge 5 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 4 4 -
M. Kelly 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Kane 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. MacDonald 4 0-2 0-0 3-5 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter