Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.