Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Holloway | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Carter | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Easley | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. George | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Long | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Sanders | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leonard | 40 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Rose | 40 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Dialls | 37 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Taylor | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Stommes | 21 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| R. Wiersma | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Daniel | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter