Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roper | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| K. Morrissy | 0 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| A. Muse | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Holman | 0 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| A. Lewis | 0 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bents | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| N. Akotaobi | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| C. Otero | 0 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Benham | 0 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| B. Meyer | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter