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2008-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. White 48 6-11 0-0 4-7 9 2 3 2 3 16 18 -
E. Gordon 45 3-13 3-7 10-12 1 4 1 1 7 19 6 -
J. Ellis 43 4-10 1-3 0-2 11 2 3 0 1 9 14 -
A. Bassett 42 3-8 2-4 8-8 7 4 0 0 1 16 18 -
J. Crawford 32 7-13 4-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 18 8 -
K. Taber 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Stemler 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 44 11-20 7-13 2-3 6 2 0 0 3 31 16 -
S. Pruitt 44 6-8 0-0 1-7 7 1 0 1 2 13 12 -
T. Meacham 36 1-10 1-8 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 3 -1 -
C. Brock 35 6-16 1-5 1-2 8 2 1 1 0 14 10 -
C. Frazier 35 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 3 2 1 3 5 7 -
B. Randle 28 2-7 0-0 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 6 5 -
R. Alexander 11 1-1 1-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Jordan 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Tisdale 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter