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2008-02-07

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% -

Actual: Washington Huskies -14 (59-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo 36 11-22 3-7 4-4 3 1 4 0 1 29 14 -
D. Jefferson 34 8-13 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 4 2 17 12 -
D. Lewis 30 3-9 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
D. Hackett 27 0-2 0-1 3-4 6 4 0 0 1 3 10 -
T. Gibson 24 3-3 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 4 1 8 15 -
A. Johnson 23 2-2 1-1 0-1 1 3 0 0 3 5 4 -
R. Cromwell 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
K. Wilkinson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Wetherell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 37 5-16 0-0 3-7 14 1 0 1 2 13 11 -
T. Morris 27 5-9 0-1 1-1 2 2 1 0 2 11 5 -
J. Dentmon 27 5-12 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 1 2 10 3 -
R. Appleby 27 2-7 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 5 0 -
J. Smith 17 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 2 1 -
V. Overton 16 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 4 3 -
Q. Pondexter 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
A. Wallace 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 9 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 3 7 3 -
J. Wolfinger 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 1 -
J. Holiday 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter