Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Riley | 39 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 37 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Gee | 37 | 4-18 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 29 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Torrance | 16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Hillman | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| D. Jemison | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Pickett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 38 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| B. Stewart | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Varnado | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| P. Turner | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Bailey | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Benock | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter