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2008-02-06

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (17.6 off)
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -16 (46-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Carr 40 8-14 5-11 1-2 6 2 1 0 5 22 12 -
D. Mercer 31 2-5 0-1 1-3 4 3 0 0 2 5 5 -
B. Simon 24 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 3 5 -
C. Guibunda 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 2 4 10 -
B. Gilmore 23 3-6 3-5 3-4 3 3 0 1 2 12 11 -
T. Lay 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
J. Nichols 17 3-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 7 5 -
F. Borden 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 7 4 -1 -
R. Penny 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Cruze 32 5-9 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 4 11 5 -
C. Cunningham 28 0-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
T. Clifford 25 6-14 1-4 5-5 2 1 1 1 3 18 6 -
E. Meister 24 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 1 2 2 1 4 7 -
P. Doherty 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 6 3 0 2 0 2 -
A. Beinert 18 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 1 -
A. Keister 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 3 4 -
G. McCarthy 13 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Dixon 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. May 9 1-4 0-2 3-3 2 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
A. Vander Baan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Paterick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter