Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (49-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Anderson | 38 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| K. Maren | 35 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| E. Washington | 33 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Johnson | 30 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Henke | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Holland | 24 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| A. Hood | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Brooks | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Amoroso | 35 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. White | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| L. Wade | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Spain | 24 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Davis | 21 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter