Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Scott | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. Jefferson | 0 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| J. Taylor | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| V. Smith | 0 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| C. Starr | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sproal | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Tucker | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Nettles | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Brunner | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| M. Jones | 0 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
* = starter